Africa Oil (Sweden) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AOI Stock  SEK 18.81  0.41  2.13%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Africa Oil Corp is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Africa Oil buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AOI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Africa Oil's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Africa Oil's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
18.43
Hype Value
18.81
Market Value
18.81
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Africa Oil Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Africa Oil. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Africa Oil Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Africa Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Africa and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Africa Oil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Africa Oil Buy or Sell Advice

The Africa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Africa Oil Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Africa Oil Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Africa Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Africa OilBuy Africa Oil
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Africa Oil Corp has a Mean Deviation of 1.61, Standard Deviation of 2.32 and Variance of 5.4
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Africa Oil Corp and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Africa Oil is not overpriced, please confirm all Africa Oil Corp fundamentals, including its price to book, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and book value per share .

Africa Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Africa Oil Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Africa Oil Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Africa Oil Corp has accumulated about 355.23 M in cash with (10.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.75.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Africa Oil Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Africa Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Africa Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Africa Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Africa Oil Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Africa Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Africa Oil.
Mean Return
-0.03
Value At Risk
-3.38
Potential Upside
2.62
Standard Deviation
2.32
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Africa Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Africa Oil Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Africa Oil or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Africa Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Africa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.31
σ
Overall volatility
2.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Africa Oil Volatility Alert

Africa Oil Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.48 and kurtosis of 6.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Africa Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Africa Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Africa Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Africa Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Africa Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Africa Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Africa Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Africa Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Africa Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Africa Oil to competition
FundamentalsAfrica OilPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0153-0.14
Profit Margin1.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.18) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.67 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding460.59 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders15.71 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.20 %39.21 %
Price To Earning(277.25) X28.72 X
Price To Book0.83 X9.51 X
Price To Sales63.12 X11.42 X
Gross Profit226.88 M27.38 B
EBITDA208.99 M3.9 B
Net Income190.72 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents355.23 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.75 X5.01 X
Total Debt609 K5.32 B
Current Ratio10.21 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(10.21 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share3.83 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.46 X4.89 X
Target Price28.67
Number Of Employees818.84 K
Beta1.58-0.15
Market Capitalization10.28 B19.03 B
Total Asset991.62 M29.47 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset991.62 M
Last Dividend Paid0.05

Africa Oil Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Africa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Africa Oil Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Africa Oil Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Africa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Africa Oil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Volatility ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Volatility ETFs
Volatility ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Volatility ETFs theme has 28 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Volatility ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Africa Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Africa Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Africa Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Africa Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.