Amgen Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
AMGN Stock | USD 284.32 1.98 0.69% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Amgen Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Amgen buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Amgen positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Amgen's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Amgen's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 274.34 | Target Price 258.8 | Hype Value 284.32 | Market Value 284.32 | Naive Value 284.45 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Amgen Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Amgen. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Amgen Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Amgen |
Execute Amgen Buy or Sell Advice
The Amgen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Amgen Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Amgen Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Amgen's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Amgen Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Amgen Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Amgen Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
On 7th of March 2024 Amgen paid $ 2.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 2508 shares by Matthew Busch of Amgen at 235.97 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Amgen Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Amgen's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Amgen's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Amgen daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Amgen Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Amgen returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Amgen.
Mean Return | 0.02 | Value At Risk | -1.83 | Potential Upside | 2.37 | Standard Deviation | 1.42 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Amgen historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Amgen Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Amgen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amgen Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Amgen's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Amgen's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 6.4 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 5.8 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 5.5 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 5.4 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 5 M | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.8 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 4.3 M | Aristotle Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 4.2 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 49 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 47.8 M |
Amgen Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change To Inventory | (66M) | (215M) | (165M) | (742M) | 491M | 515.6M | |
Change In Cash | (908M) | 229M | 1.7B | (360M) | 3.3B | 3.5B | |
Free Cash Flow | 8.5B | 9.9B | 8.4B | 8.8B | 7.4B | 4.5B | |
Depreciation | 2.2B | 3.6B | 3.4B | 3.4B | 4.1B | 4.3B | |
Other Non Cash Items | (186M) | (195M) | 1.3B | 1.3B | (991M) | (941.5M) | |
Capital Expenditures | 618M | 608M | 880M | 936M | 1.1B | 663.6M | |
Net Income | 7.8B | 7.3B | 5.9B | 6.6B | 6.7B | 3.4B | |
End Period Cash Flow | 6.0B | 6.3B | 8.0B | 7.6B | 10.9B | 11.5B | |
Change To Netincome | 205M | (152M) | 3.4B | 485M | 557.8M | 379.4M | |
Investments | 20.0B | (4.7B) | 733M | (6.0B) | (2.6B) | (2.5B) | |
Change Receivables | (504M) | (427M) | (429M) | (746M) | (671.4M) | (637.8M) | |
Net Borrowings | (4.5B) | 2.5B | 795M | 6.6B | 6.0B | 6.3B | |
Dividends Paid | 3.5B | 3.8B | 4.0B | 4.2B | (4.6B) | (4.3B) |
Amgen Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Amgen or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Amgen's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Amgen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Amgen Volatility Alert
Amgen Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.11 and kurtosis of 5.82. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Amgen's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Amgen's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Amgen Implied Volatility
Amgen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amgen Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amgen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amgen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amgen's options are near their expiration.
Amgen Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Amgen's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Amgen's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Amgen and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Amgen or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Amgen's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amgen by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Amgen to competition |
Fundamentals | Amgen | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 1.36 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0629 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.24 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.08 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 207.11 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 535.92 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.24 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.90 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 11.11 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 22.74 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 24.62 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 5.44 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 28.19 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 19.92 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 7.9 B | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 6.72 B | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 11.48 B | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 21.51 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 64.61 B | 5.32 B |
Current Ratio | 1.68 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 11.64 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 8.47 B | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 3.52 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 12.48 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.56 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 308.5 | |
Number Of Employees | 26.7 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 0.58 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 153.43 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 97.15 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | (26.55 B) | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 11.94 B | 1.48 B |
Current Asset | 38.52 B | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Williams R Sanders of 846 shares of Amgen subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Amgen Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Amgen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 34582.28 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (0.45) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
Day Median Price | 286.39 | |||
Day Typical Price | 285.7 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (3.06) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (1.98) |
About Amgen Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Amgen Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Amgen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 33.3B | 38.9B | 64.6B | 67.8B | Total Assets | 61.2B | 65.1B | 97.2B | 102.0B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Amgen in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Books
Companies involved in publishing of books, newspapers, periodicals and other mass publications. The Books theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Books Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Amgen Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Amgen Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Amgen's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Complementary Tools for Amgen Stock analysis
When running Amgen's price analysis, check to measure Amgen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amgen is operating at the current time. Most of Amgen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amgen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amgen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amgen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Amgen's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amgen. If investors know Amgen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amgen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Dividend Share 8.52 | Earnings Share 12.48 | Revenue Per Share 52.692 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.198 |
The market value of Amgen Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amgen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amgen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amgen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amgen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amgen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amgen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amgen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amgen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.