Alma Media (Finland) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALMA Stock  EUR 9.40  0.12  1.26%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alma Media Oyj is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Alma Media buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ALMA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alma Media's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Alma Media's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
7.9
Hype Value
9.4
Market Value
9.4
Naive Value
9.34
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alma Media Oyj given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Alma Media. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alma Media Oyj, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Alma Media Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alma and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alma Media Oyj. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Alma Media Buy or Sell Advice

The Alma recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alma Media Oyj. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alma Media Oyj or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alma Media's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alma MediaBuy Alma Media
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alma Media Oyj has a Mean Deviation of 0.7191, Semi Deviation of 0.8564, Standard Deviation of 0.9565, Variance of 0.915, Downside Variance of 1.16 and Semi Variance of 0.7333
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Alma Media Oyj. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Alma Media is not overpriced, please confirm all Alma Media Oyj fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, shares owned by institutions, price to book, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and price to earning .

Alma Media Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alma Media Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 200 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 56.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Alma Media Oyj has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Alma Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alma Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alma Media Oyj sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alma to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alma Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 65.0% of Alma Media shares are held by company insiders

Alma Media Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alma Media's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alma Media's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alma Media daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alma Media Oyj price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alma Media returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alma Media.
Mean Return
0.03
Value At Risk
-1.35
Potential Upside
1.59
Standard Deviation
0.96
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alma Media historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alma Media Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alma Media or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alma Media's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alma stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Alma Media Volatility Alert

Alma Media Oyj has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.23 and kurtosis of 0.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alma Media's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alma Media's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alma Media Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alma Media's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alma Media's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alma Media and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alma Media or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alma Media's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alma Media by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alma Media to competition
FundamentalsAlma MediaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.39-0.31
Return On Asset0.11-0.14
Profit Margin0.22 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.27 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation923.88 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding82.14 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders64.83 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions20.91 %39.21 %
Price To Earning13.62 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.15 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.57 X11.42 X
Revenue275.4 M9.43 B
Gross Profit130.7 M27.38 B
EBITDA74.6 M3.9 B
Net Income43.6 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents43.2 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt200 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity56.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.75 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.29 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations75.6 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.80 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.66 X4.89 X
Target Price11.7
Number Of Employees1.89 K18.84 K
Beta1.09-0.15
Market Capitalization817.32 M19.03 B
Total Asset518.4 M29.47 B
Z Score2.48.72
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return3.41 %
Net Asset518.4 M

Alma Media Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alma . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alma Media Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alma Media Oyj? Buying financial instruments such as Alma Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alma Media in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Insurance Thematic Idea Now

Insurance
Insurance Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Insurance theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Insurance Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Alma Media Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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When running Alma Media's price analysis, check to measure Alma Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alma Media is operating at the current time. Most of Alma Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alma Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alma Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alma Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Alma Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alma Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alma Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.