Allegion Plc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALLE Stock  USD 126.97  1.55  1.24%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Allegion PLC is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Allegion PLC buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ALLE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Allegion PLC's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Allegion PLC's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
125.91
Target Price
123.67
Hype Value
126.93
Market Value
126.97
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Allegion PLC given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Allegion PLC. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Allegion PLC, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Allegion PLC Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Allegion Stock refer to our How to Trade Allegion Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Allegion and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Allegion PLC. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Allegion PLC Buy or Sell Advice

The Allegion recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Allegion PLC. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Allegion PLC or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Allegion PLC's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Allegion PLCBuy Allegion PLC
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Allegion PLC has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0368, Jensen Alpha of (0.06), Total Risk Alpha of (0.11), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0378
Macroaxis provides advice on Allegion PLC to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Allegion PLC. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Allegion PLC is not overpriced, please confirm all Allegion PLC fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Allegion PLC has a price to earning of 23.28 X, we suggest you to validate Allegion PLC market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Allegion PLC Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Allegion PLC has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Honeywell to Report Q1 Earnings Is a Beat in Store

Allegion PLC Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Allegion PLC's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Allegion PLC's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Allegion PLC daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Allegion PLC price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Allegion PLC returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Allegion PLC.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-1.8
Potential Upside
2.62
Standard Deviation
1.28
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Allegion PLC historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Allegion Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Allegion PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Allegion PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Allegion PLC's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Allegion PLC's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
1.6 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2023-12-31
1.3 M
Nordea Investment Mgmt Bank Demark A/s2023-12-31
1.3 M
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
M
Intermede Investment Partners2023-12-31
M
Ninety One Uk Limited2023-12-31
995.6 K
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2023-12-31
954.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
912.4 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
908.9 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
10.6 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
10.5 M
Note, although Allegion PLC's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Allegion PLC Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash68.1M121.7M(82.5M)(109.9M)180.1M189.1M
Free Cash Flow408.7M422.6M443.2M395.5M516.4M370.8M
Depreciation83M81M83.1M97.9M111.6M77.4M
Other Non Cash Items9.8M134.6M20.4M46.8M7.5M8.2M
Capital Expenditures65.6M47.1M45.4M64M84.2M50.7M
Net Income402.1M314.5M483.3M458.3M540.6M337.3M
End Period Cash Flow358.7M480.4M397.9M288M468.1M378.6M
Investments(77.6M)(3M)7.6M(994.1M)(111.6M)(117.2M)
Net Borrowings(22.1M)(200K)9.2M646.2M581.6M610.7M
Dividends Paid100.6M117.3M129M143.9M158.7M93.4M
Change To Netincome28.9M98.1M(45.5M)(39.5M)(35.6M)(33.8M)
Change Receivables(6M)(1.9M)31.7M(53.4M)(48.1M)(45.7M)

Allegion PLC Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Allegion PLC or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Allegion PLC's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Allegion stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.48
σ
Overall volatility
1.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Allegion PLC Volatility Alert

Allegion PLC has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.02 and kurtosis of 0.48. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Allegion PLC's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Allegion PLC's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Allegion PLC Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Allegion PLC's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Allegion PLC's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Allegion PLC and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Allegion PLC or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Allegion PLC's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Allegion PLC by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Allegion PLC to competition
FundamentalsAllegion PLCPeer Average
Return On Equity0.48-0.31
Return On Asset0.11-0.14
Profit Margin0.15 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.68 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding87.44 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.41 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.59 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.61 M4.71 M
Price To Earning23.28 X28.72 X
Price To Book8.46 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.06 X11.42 X
Revenue3.65 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.32 B27.38 B
EBITDA833.3 M3.9 B
Net Income540.6 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents282.2 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.21 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.02 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.94 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.79 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.06 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations600.6 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.97 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share6.12 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.19 X4.89 X
Target Price135.17
Number Of Employees12.2 K18.84 K
Beta1.13-0.15
Market Capitalization10.97 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.31 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.58 B9.33 B
Working Capital281.2 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Nickolas Musial of 864 shares of Allegion PLC subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Allegion PLC Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Allegion . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Allegion PLC Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Allegion PLC? Buying financial instruments such as Allegion Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities329.5M410.3M1.3B1.3B
Total Assets3.1B4.0B4.3B3.0B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Allegion PLC in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Rubber and Plastic Products Thematic Idea Now

Rubber and Plastic Products
Rubber and Plastic Products Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Rubber and Plastic Products theme has 27 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Rubber and Plastic Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Allegion PLC is a strong investment it is important to analyze Allegion PLC's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Allegion PLC's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Allegion Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Allegion PLC Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Allegion Stock refer to our How to Trade Allegion Stock guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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When running Allegion PLC's price analysis, check to measure Allegion PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allegion PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Allegion PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allegion PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allegion PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allegion PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Allegion PLC's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allegion PLC. If investors know Allegion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Allegion PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
Dividend Share
1.8
Earnings Share
6.12
Revenue Per Share
41.534
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.042
The market value of Allegion PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Allegion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Allegion PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Allegion PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Allegion PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Allegion PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Allegion PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allegion PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allegion PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.