Air Lease Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AL Stock | USD 49.03 0.30 0.62% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Air Lease is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Air Lease buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Air Lease's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Air Lease's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 53.17 | Target Price 53.17 | Hype Value 48.49 | Market Value 49.03 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Air Lease given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Air Lease. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Air Lease, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Air |
Execute Air Lease Buy or Sell Advice
The Air recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air Lease. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air Lease or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air Lease's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Air Lease Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reports 19.18 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.85, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Air Lease has a current ratio of 0.88, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Air Lease until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Air Lease's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Air Lease sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Air Lease's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Air Lease has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 91.0% of Air Lease shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 10th of April 2024 Air Lease paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why Air Lease is a Strong Value Stock |
Air Lease Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Air Lease's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Air Lease's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Air Lease daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air Lease price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Air Lease returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air Lease.
| Mean Return | 0.32 | Value At Risk | -2.03 | Potential Upside | 2.61 | Standard Deviation | 1.59 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air Lease historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Air Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Air Lease is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air Lease backward and forwards among themselves. Air Lease's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Air Lease's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 M | Earnest Partners Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M | Copeland Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Fidelity International Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Reinhart Mahoney Capital Management Inc | 2024-03-31 | 1.4 M | Cooke & Bieler Lp | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 10.2 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 7.2 M |
Air Lease Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 4.8B | 2.7B | 3.2B | 3.6B | 4.5B | 3.4B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 338.1M | 1.8B | 1.1B | 780.0M | 464.5M | 541.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 15.1M | 1.4B | (649.5M) | (328.3M) | (315.5M) | (299.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (3.4B) | (1.6B) | (1.9B) | (2.3B) | (2.8B) | (2.9B) | |
| Depreciation | 702.8M | 780.7M | 882.6M | 966.0M | 1.1B | 616.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (12.5M) | 60.4M | 51.1M | 759.5M | (164.5M) | (156.3M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 70.0M | 83.6M | 101.5M | 125.0M | (130.5M) | (124.0M) | |
| Net Income | 587.1M | 516.3M | 436.6M | (97.0M) | 614.6M | 387.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | 2.3B | 2.9B | 590.4M | 2.0B | 2.3B | 1.8B | |
| Change To Netincome | 30.8M | 158.3M | 77.9M | 630.5M | 725.1M | 761.3M | |
| Investments | (3.8B) | (2.5B) | (3.1B) | (3.4B) | (2.8B) | (2.9B) |
Air Lease Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air Lease or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air Lease's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Air Lease Volatility Alert
Air Lease has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.26 and kurtosis of 1.44. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Air Lease's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Air Lease's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Air Lease Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Air Lease's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air Lease's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air Lease and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air Lease or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air Lease's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air Lease by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Air Lease to competition |
| Fundamentals | Air Lease | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.089 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0296 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.23 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.53 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 24.13 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 111.37 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.51 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 91.37 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.31 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.71 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.76 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.01 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.68 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.35 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.81 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 614.62 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 766.42 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 9.13 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 19.18 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.85 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 64.49 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.75 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.95 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.14 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.91 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 54.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 163 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.65 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.43 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 30.45 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.87 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (843.51 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 28515 shares by John Plueger of Air Lease at 40.0628 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Air Lease Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11685.87 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4545 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 49.09 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 49.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.09 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.3 |
About Air Lease Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Air Lease? Buying financial instruments such as Air Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 17.0B | 18.6B | 19.2B | 11.2B | Total Assets | 27.0B | 28.4B | 30.5B | 17.9B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Air Lease in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Funds or Etfs that invest in companies involved in research, development, testing, or distribution of technologically based goods and services. The Tech Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Tech Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Air Lease Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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When running Air Lease's price analysis, check to measure Air Lease's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Lease is operating at the current time. Most of Air Lease's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Lease's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Lease's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Lease to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Air Lease's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Lease listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.556 | Dividend Share 0.81 | Earnings Share 5.14 | Revenue Per Share 24.188 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.191 |
The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Lease's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Lease is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Lease's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.