Air China Ltd Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AIRYY Stock | USD 9.45 0.28 3.05% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Air China Ltd is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Air China buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AIRYY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Air China's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Air China's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 8.43 | Hype Value 9.45 | Market Value 9.45 | Naive Value 9.47 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Air China Ltd given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Air China. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Air China Ltd, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Air |
Execute Air China Buy or Sell Advice
The Air recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air China Ltd. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air China Ltd or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air China's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Air China Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Air China generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 53.12 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.25, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Air China has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Air China until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Air China's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Air China sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Air China's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 74.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (16.64 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (11.36 B). |
Air China Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Air China's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Air China's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Air China daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air China Ltd price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Air China returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air China.
| Mean Return | -0.3 | Value At Risk | -5.34 | Potential Upside | 3.88 | Standard Deviation | 2.46 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air China historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Air China Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air China or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air China's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Air China Volatility Alert
Air China Ltd exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.2 and kurtosis of 4.6. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Air China's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Air China's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Air China Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Air China's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air China's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air China and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air China or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air China's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air China by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Air China to competition |
| Fundamentals | Air China | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.73 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0668 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.58) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.53) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 47.33 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 810.04 M | 571.82 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.27 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.74 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.36 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 74.53 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (11.36 B) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 4.6 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (16.64 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 20.56 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 28.31 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 53.12 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 4.25 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.37 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 48.40 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 12.89 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (4.20) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 4.46 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 19.87 | |
| Number Of Employees | 88.39 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.94 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 21.52 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 298.42 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 41.76 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (46.08 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 20.75 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 66.83 B | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Five Year Return | 1.59 % |
Air China Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Air China Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Air China Ltd? Buying financial instruments such as Air Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Air China in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run High Yield ETFs Thematic Idea Now
High Yield ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The High Yield ETFs theme has 95 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize High Yield ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Air China Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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When running Air China's price analysis, check to measure Air China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air China is operating at the current time. Most of Air China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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