AGRANA Beteiligungs (Austria) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGR Stock | EUR 13.45 0.15 1.13% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides AGRANA Beteiligungs buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AGR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AGRANA Beteiligungs' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting AGRANA Beteiligungs' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 11.61 | Hype Value 13.45 | Market Value 13.45 | Naive Value 13.2 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards AGRANA Beteiligungs. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
AGRANA |
Execute AGRANA Beteiligungs Buy or Sell Advice
The AGRANA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AGRANA Beteiligungs' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
AGRANA Beteiligungs Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| AGRANA Beteiligungs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AGRANA Beteiligungs has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (12.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 833.45 M. | |
| About 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AGRANA Beteiligungs Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AGRANA Beteiligungs' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AGRANA Beteiligungs' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AGRANA Beteiligungs daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AGRANA Beteiligungs returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AGRANA Beteiligungs.
| Mean Return | -0.08 | Value At Risk | -1.48 | Potential Upside | 1.49 | Standard Deviation | 1.09 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AGRANA Beteiligungs historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AGRANA Beteiligungs Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AGRANA Beteiligungs or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AGRANA Beteiligungs' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AGRANA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
AGRANA Beteiligungs Volatility Alert
AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.98 and kurtosis of 4.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AGRANA Beteiligungs' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AGRANA Beteiligungs' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AGRANA Beteiligungs Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AGRANA Beteiligungs' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AGRANA Beteiligungs' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AGRANA Beteiligungs and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AGRANA Beteiligungs or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AGRANA Beteiligungs' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AGRANA Beteiligungs by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AGRANA Beteiligungs to competition |
| Fundamentals | AGRANA Beteiligungs | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0397 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0289 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.61 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 62.49 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 81.08 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 3.60 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 19.04 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.78 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.28 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.9 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 833.45 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 194.13 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (12.61 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 87.6 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.38 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 355.05 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.37 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.09 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 53.23 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.15 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 17.03 | |
| Number Of Employees | 8.86 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.68 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.05 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.64 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 2.2 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Five Year Return | 4.83 % | |
| Net Asset | 2.64 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.75 |
AGRANA Beteiligungs Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AGRANA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About AGRANA Beteiligungs Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft? Buying financial instruments such as AGRANA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out AGRANA Beteiligungs Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Complementary Tools for AGRANA Stock analysis
When running AGRANA Beteiligungs' price analysis, check to measure AGRANA Beteiligungs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AGRANA Beteiligungs is operating at the current time. Most of AGRANA Beteiligungs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AGRANA Beteiligungs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AGRANA Beteiligungs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AGRANA Beteiligungs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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