Aercap Holdings Nv Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
AER Stock | USD 85.11 1.02 1.18% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding AerCap Holdings NV is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides AerCap Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AER positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AerCap Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting AerCap Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 88.89 | Target Price 81 | Hype Value 85.03 | Market Value 85.11 | Naive Value 87.32 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AerCap Holdings NV given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards AerCap Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AerCap Holdings NV, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
AerCap |
Execute AerCap Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The AerCap recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AerCap Holdings NV. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AerCap Holdings NV or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AerCap Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
AerCap Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
AerCap Holdings NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is AerCap Holdings N.V an Attractive Investment Opportunity |
AerCap Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AerCap Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AerCap Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AerCap Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AerCap Holdings NV price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AerCap Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AerCap Holdings.
Mean Return | 0.20 | Value At Risk | -1.36 | Potential Upside | 2.18 | Standard Deviation | 1.19 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AerCap Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AerCap Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AerCap Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AerCap Holdings NV backward and forwards among themselves. AerCap Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AerCap Holdings' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Donald Smith & Co Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.1 M | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 4 M | Lyrical Asset Management Lp | 2023-12-31 | 3.3 M | 59 North Capital Management, Lp | 2023-09-30 | 2.9 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 2.9 M | Soros Fund Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.5 M | Ninety One Uk Limited | 2023-12-31 | 2.4 M | Slate Path Capital Lp | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Perpetual Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 20.6 M | Eagle Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 12.6 M |
AerCap Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change In Cash | (114.7M) | 194.9M | 419.5M | (158.0M) | 68.7M | 75.7M | |
Free Cash Flow | (1.6B) | 946.7M | 1.9B | 1.3B | (971.0M) | (1.0B) | |
Depreciation | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.7B | 2.4B | 2.5B | 2.6B | |
Other Non Cash Items | 56.6M | 1.4B | 381.0M | 3.8B | 3.9B | 4.1B | |
Capital Expenditures | 4.7B | 1.2B | 1.8B | 3.9B | 6.2B | 6.5B | |
Net Income | 1.2B | (294.9M) | 1.0B | (721.2M) | 3.1B | 3.3B | |
End Period Cash Flow | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.9B | 1.8B | 1.8B | 1.0B | |
Investments | (3.0B) | (712.3M) | (23.5B) | (2.2B) | (3.2B) | (3.3B) | |
Net Borrowings | 34.5M | (613.7M) | 20.5B | (3.8B) | (4.3B) | (4.1B) | |
Change To Netincome | 286.6M | 1.4B | 366.2M | 3.6B | 4.1B | 4.3B |
AerCap Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AerCap Holdings or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AerCap Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AerCap stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
AerCap Holdings Volatility Alert
AerCap Holdings NV has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.29 and kurtosis of -0.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AerCap Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AerCap Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AerCap Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AerCap Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AerCap Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AerCap Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AerCap Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AerCap Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AerCap Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AerCap Holdings to competition |
Fundamentals | AerCap Holdings | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.19 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0343 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.41 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.53 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 61.61 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 202.49 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.19 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.42 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.67 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 6.73 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 1.01 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 2.22 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 6.89 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 3.7 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 5.67 B | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 3.14 B | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 1.6 B | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 5.50 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 46.58 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 3.18 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 1.64 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 83.81 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 5.26 B | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 1.53 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 13.78 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.91 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 88.56 | |
Number Of Employees | 678 | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.85 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 17.44 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 71.27 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 10.8 B | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 4.42 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Michael Walsh of 500 shares of AerCap Holdings at 48.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
AerCap Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AerCap . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 23933.79 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (0.55) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
Day Median Price | 85.7 | |||
Day Typical Price | 85.5 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (1.09) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (1.02) | |||
Relative Strength Index | 57.11 |
About AerCap Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AerCap Holdings NV? Buying financial instruments such as AerCap Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 50.4B | 46.7B | 46.6B | 48.9B | Total Assets | 74.6B | 69.7B | 71.3B | 74.8B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having AerCap Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Restaurants
Entities that are involved in restaurant business, as well as coffee shop chains and other eateries. The Restaurants theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Restaurants Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out AerCap Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the AerCap Holdings NV information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AerCap Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for AerCap Stock analysis
When running AerCap Holdings' price analysis, check to measure AerCap Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AerCap Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of AerCap Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AerCap Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AerCap Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AerCap Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AerCap Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AerCap Holdings. If investors know AerCap will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AerCap Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.637 | Earnings Share 13.78 | Revenue Per Share 33.783 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.054 | Return On Assets 0.0343 |
The market value of AerCap Holdings NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AerCap that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AerCap Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AerCap Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AerCap Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AerCap Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AerCap Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AerCap Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AerCap Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.