Aercap Holdings Nv Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AER Stock  USD 85.11  1.02  1.18%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding AerCap Holdings NV is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides AerCap Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AER positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AerCap Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting AerCap Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
88.89
Target Price
81
Hype Value
85.03
Market Value
85.11
Naive Value
87.32
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AerCap Holdings NV given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards AerCap Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AerCap Holdings NV, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out AerCap Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AerCap and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards AerCap Holdings NV. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute AerCap Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The AerCap recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AerCap Holdings NV. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AerCap Holdings NV or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AerCap Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AerCap HoldingsBuy AerCap Holdings
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon AerCap Holdings NV has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1113, Jensen Alpha of 0.1192, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0305, Sortino Ratio of 0.1024 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2218
Macroaxis provides advice on AerCap Holdings NV to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on AerCap Holdings NV. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure AerCap Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all AerCap Holdings NV fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, target price, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that AerCap Holdings NV has a price to earning of 6.73 X, we suggest you to validate AerCap Holdings NV market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

AerCap Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AerCap Holdings NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is AerCap Holdings N.V an Attractive Investment Opportunity

AerCap Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AerCap Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AerCap Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AerCap Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AerCap Holdings NV price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AerCap Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AerCap Holdings.
Mean Return
0.20
Value At Risk
-1.36
Potential Upside
2.18
Standard Deviation
1.19
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AerCap Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AerCap Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AerCap Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AerCap Holdings NV backward and forwards among themselves. AerCap Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AerCap Holdings' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Donald Smith & Co Inc2023-12-31
4.1 M
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2023-09-30
M
Lyrical Asset Management Lp2023-12-31
3.3 M
59 North Capital Management, Lp2023-09-30
2.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
2.9 M
Soros Fund Management Llc2023-12-31
2.5 M
Ninety One Uk Limited2023-12-31
2.4 M
Slate Path Capital Lp2023-12-31
2.3 M
Perpetual Ltd2023-12-31
2.2 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
20.6 M
Eagle Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
12.6 M
Note, although AerCap Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

AerCap Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(114.7M)194.9M419.5M(158.0M)68.7M75.7M
Free Cash Flow(1.6B)946.7M1.9B1.3B(971.0M)(1.0B)
Depreciation1.7B1.6B1.7B2.4B2.5B2.6B
Other Non Cash Items56.6M1.4B381.0M3.8B3.9B4.1B
Capital Expenditures4.7B1.2B1.8B3.9B6.2B6.5B
Net Income1.2B(294.9M)1.0B(721.2M)3.1B3.3B
End Period Cash Flow1.3B1.5B1.9B1.8B1.8B1.0B
Investments(3.0B)(712.3M)(23.5B)(2.2B)(3.2B)(3.3B)
Net Borrowings34.5M(613.7M)20.5B(3.8B)(4.3B)(4.1B)
Change To Netincome286.6M1.4B366.2M3.6B4.1B4.3B

AerCap Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AerCap Holdings or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AerCap Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AerCap stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.87
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

AerCap Holdings Volatility Alert

AerCap Holdings NV has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.29 and kurtosis of -0.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AerCap Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AerCap Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

AerCap Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AerCap Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AerCap Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AerCap Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AerCap Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AerCap Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AerCap Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AerCap Holdings to competition
FundamentalsAerCap HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.19-0.31
Return On Asset0.0343-0.14
Profit Margin0.41 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.53 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation61.61 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding202.49 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.19 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.42 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.67 M4.71 M
Price To Earning6.73 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.01 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.22 X11.42 X
Revenue6.89 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.7 B27.38 B
EBITDA5.67 B3.9 B
Net Income3.14 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.6 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.50 X5.01 X
Total Debt46.58 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity3.18 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.64 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share83.81 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.26 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.53 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share13.78 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.91 X4.89 X
Target Price88.56
Number Of Employees67818.84 K
Beta1.85-0.15
Market Capitalization17.44 B19.03 B
Total Asset71.27 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings10.8 B9.33 B
Working Capital4.42 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Michael Walsh of 500 shares of AerCap Holdings at 48.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

AerCap Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AerCap . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AerCap Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AerCap Holdings NV? Buying financial instruments such as AerCap Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total50.4B46.7B46.6B48.9B
Total Assets74.6B69.7B71.3B74.8B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having AerCap Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Restaurants Thematic Idea Now

Restaurants
Restaurants Theme
Entities that are involved in restaurant business, as well as coffee shop chains and other eateries. The Restaurants theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Restaurants Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether AerCap Holdings NV is a strong investment it is important to analyze AerCap Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AerCap Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AerCap Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out AerCap Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the AerCap Holdings NV information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AerCap Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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Is AerCap Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AerCap Holdings. If investors know AerCap will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AerCap Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.637
Earnings Share
13.78
Revenue Per Share
33.783
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.054
Return On Assets
0.0343
The market value of AerCap Holdings NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AerCap that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AerCap Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AerCap Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AerCap Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AerCap Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AerCap Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AerCap Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AerCap Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.