Aegean Airlines (Greece) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AEGN Stock  EUR 12.52  0.10  0.79%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Aegean Airlines SA is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Aegean Airlines buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AEGN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aegean Airlines' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aegean Airlines' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
12.27
Hype Value
12.52
Market Value
12.52
Naive Value
12.66
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aegean Airlines SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aegean Airlines. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aegean Airlines SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Aegean Airlines Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aegean and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Aegean Airlines SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Aegean Airlines Buy or Sell Advice

The Aegean recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aegean Airlines SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aegean Airlines SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aegean Airlines' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aegean AirlinesBuy Aegean Airlines
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Aegean Airlines SA has a Mean Deviation of 1.08, Semi Deviation of 1.05, Standard Deviation of 1.37, Variance of 1.87, Downside Variance of 1.36 and Semi Variance of 1.11
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Aegean Airlines SA and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Aegean Airlines is not overpriced, please confirm all Aegean Airlines SA fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, shares owned by institutions, as well as the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

Aegean Airlines Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Aegean Airlines Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aegean Airlines' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aegean Airlines' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aegean Airlines daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aegean Airlines SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aegean Airlines returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aegean Airlines.
Mean Return
0.16
Value At Risk
-2.04
Potential Upside
2.61
Standard Deviation
1.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aegean Airlines historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aegean Airlines Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aegean Airlines or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aegean Airlines' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aegean stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.25
σ
Overall volatility
1.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Aegean Airlines Volatility Alert

Aegean Airlines SA has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.5 and kurtosis of 0.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aegean Airlines' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aegean Airlines' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aegean Airlines Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aegean Airlines' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aegean Airlines' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aegean Airlines and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aegean Airlines or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aegean Airlines' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aegean Airlines by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aegean Airlines to competition
FundamentalsAegean AirlinesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.24-0.31
Return On Asset0.0384-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation784.05 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding90.17 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders62.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions7.55 %39.21 %
Price To Earning5.87 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.80 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.39 X11.42 X
Revenue674.83 M9.43 B
Gross Profit99.37 M27.38 B
EBITDA171.27 M3.9 B
Net Income4.91 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents582.58 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.46 X5.01 X
Total Debt343.7 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity3.48 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.13 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.00 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations211.46 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.82 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.50 X4.89 X
Target Price6.3
Number Of Employees2.44 K18.84 K
Beta1.76-0.15
Market Capitalization686.17 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.54 B29.47 B
Working Capital(7 M)1.48 B
Current Asset446 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities453 M7.9 B
Z Score0.68.72

Aegean Airlines Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aegean . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aegean Airlines Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aegean Airlines SA? Buying financial instruments such as Aegean Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aegean Airlines in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Outsourcing Thematic Idea Now

Outsourcing
Outsourcing Theme
Companies involved in providing outsourcing and staffing services to business across different domains. The Outsourcing theme has 29 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Outsourcing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Aegean Airlines Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Aegean Airlines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aegean Airlines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aegean Airlines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.