Arch Capital Group Preferred Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ACGLO Preferred Stock  USD 22.77  0.26  1.16%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Arch Capital Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Arch Capital buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACGLO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Arch Capital's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Arch Capital's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
23.04
Hype Value
22.77
Market Value
22.77
Naive Value
22.52
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Arch Capital Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Arch Capital. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Arch Capital Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Arch Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arch and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Arch Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Arch Capital Buy or Sell Advice

The Arch recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arch Capital Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arch Capital Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arch Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Arch CapitalBuy Arch Capital
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Arch Capital Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0.06), Total Risk Alpha of (0.08) and Treynor Ratio of (0.06)
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Arch Capital. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Arch Capital is not overpriced, please confirm all Arch Capital Group fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, cash per share, market capitalization, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Arch Capital Group has a number of shares shorted of 38.17 K, we suggest you to validate Arch Capital Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Arch Capital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Arch Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arch Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arch Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arch Capital Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arch Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arch Capital.
Mean Return
-0.02
Value At Risk
-1.54
Potential Upside
1.08
Standard Deviation
0.72
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arch Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Arch Capital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arch Capital or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arch Capital's price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arch preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Arch Capital Volatility Alert

Arch Capital Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.4 and kurtosis of -0.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arch Capital's preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arch Capital's preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Arch Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Arch Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arch Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arch Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arch Capital or determine the preferred stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arch Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arch Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Arch Capital to competition
FundamentalsArch CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0987-0.31
Return On Asset0.016-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation11.14 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding402.94 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions28.36 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted38.17 K4.71 M
Price To Earning5.39 X28.72 X
Price To Sales1.40 X11.42 X
Revenue8.93 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.36 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.51 B3.9 B
Net Income2.24 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.75 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.54 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.72 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.23 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.87 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share29.86 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.43 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.80 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.69 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees5.2 K18.84 K
Beta0.76-0.15
Market Capitalization13.79 B19.03 B
Total Asset45.1 B29.47 B
Z Score3.08.72
Annual Yield0.06 %
Net Asset45.1 B

Arch Capital Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arch . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Arch Capital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Arch Capital Group? Buying financial instruments such as Arch Preferred Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Arch Capital in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Military Industrial Theme
A collection of large United States defense contractors including companies involved in production or distribution of aircraft, ships, vehicles, weaponry, and electronic systems in cooperation with the government. The Military Industrial theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Military Industrial Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Arch Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Arch Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arch Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arch Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.