Associated Capital Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AC Stock  USD 32.71  0.10  0.31%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Associated Capital Group is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Associated Capital buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Associated Capital's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Associated Capital's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
33.16
Hype Value
32.71
Market Value
32.71
Naive Value
31.62
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Associated Capital Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Associated Capital. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Associated Capital Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Associated Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Associated and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Associated Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Associated Capital Buy or Sell Advice

The Associated recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Associated Capital Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Associated Capital Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Associated Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Associated CapitalBuy Associated Capital
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Associated Capital Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), Jensen Alpha of (0.21), Total Risk Alpha of (0.41) and Treynor Ratio of (0.37)
Our advice module can be used to complement Associated Capital investment recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Associated Capital is not overpriced, please confirm all Associated Capital fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, revenue, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the price to book and ebitda . Given that Associated Capital has a price to earning of 48.28 X, we suggest you to validate Associated Capital Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Associated Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Associated Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Associated Capital has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Associated Capital Group Sees Large Volume Increase - MarketBeat

Associated Capital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Associated Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Associated Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Associated Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Associated Capital Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Associated Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Associated Capital.
Mean Return
-0.15
Value At Risk
-1.99
Potential Upside
1.58
Standard Deviation
1.11
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Associated Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Associated Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Associated Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Associated Capital Group backward and forwards among themselves. Associated Capital's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Associated Capital's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
10 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
9.1 K
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
5.8 K
U.s. Bancorp2023-12-31
4.4 K
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
3.2 K
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
1.6 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
910
Rhumbline Advisers2023-12-31
549
Ronald Blue Trust, Inc.2023-12-31
500
Horizon Asset Management Inc/ny2023-12-31
1.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
162.9 K
Note, although Associated Capital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Associated Capital Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(63.7M)69.2M(56.5M)(287.9M)(259.1M)(246.2M)
Change In Cash(61.0M)(302.5M)289.1M(107.3M)104.1M109.3M
Free Cash Flow(50.9M)(290.5M)238.2M(70.6M)6.2M6.5M
Depreciation30K52K379K341K360K378K
Other Non Cash Items(25.9M)(3.9M)(13.0M)66.4M(46.5M)(44.2M)
Net Income42.8M20.5M63.6M(45.5M)37.5M39.3M
End Period Cash Flow348.8M39.5M328.6M221.3M325.4M288.9M
Change To Netincome(87.1M)(29.4M)174.6M(25.0M)(28.8M)(27.3M)
Investments871K(174.1M)65.3M1.9M2.5M2.6M
Dividends Paid4.5M6.7M4.4M4.4M(4.3M)(4.1M)

Associated Capital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Associated Capital or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Associated Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Associated stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.43
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

Associated Capital Volatility Alert

Associated Capital Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.27 and kurtosis of -0.33. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Associated Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Associated Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Associated Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Associated Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Associated Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Associated Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Associated Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Associated Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Associated Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Associated Capital to competition
FundamentalsAssociated CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0416-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0113-0.14
Profit Margin2.95 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.86) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation294.25 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.54 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions71.67 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted9.92 K4.71 M
Price To Earning48.28 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales55.09 X11.42 X
Revenue55.72 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(3.65 M)27.38 B
EBITDA26.45 M3.9 B
Net Income37.45 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents404.46 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share16.77 X5.01 X
Debt To Equity0.11 %48.70 %
Current Ratio20.94 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share42.11 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations6.15 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.60 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.72 X3.12 X
Target Price10.87
Number Of Employees2518.84 K
Beta0.9-0.15
Market Capitalization698.74 M19.03 B
Total Asset943.8 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings48.23 M9.33 B
Working Capital426.17 M1.48 B
Current Asset213.21 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities76.87 M7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al of 4000 shares of Associated Capital at 27.9538 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Associated Capital Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Associated . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Associated Capital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Associated Capital Group? Buying financial instruments such as Associated Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities38.0M16.6M20.3M28.9M
Total Assets1.2B927.7M943.8M1.0B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Associated Capital in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run ESG Investing Thematic Idea Now

ESG Investing
ESG Investing Theme
Sustainable investments that promote the conservation of the natural world, social resposibility, freindly employees policies and strong governance. The ESG Investing theme has 51 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize ESG Investing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Associated Capital offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Associated Capital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Associated Capital Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Associated Capital Group Stock:
Check out Associated Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Associated Capital information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Associated Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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Is Associated Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Associated Capital. If investors know Associated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Associated Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.214
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
1.72
Revenue Per Share
0.583
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.25)
The market value of Associated Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Associated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Associated Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Associated Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Associated Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Associated Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Associated Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Associated Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Associated Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.