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Alcoa Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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AA -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: March 31, 2020  

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alcoa Corporation is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alcoa buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcoa positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alcoa available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Alcoa buy-and-hold prospective. Please continue to Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell AlcoaBuy Alcoa
Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Alcoa Corporation has a risk adjusted performance of (0.1), jensen alpha of (0.40), total risk alpha of (0.51), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.40)
Our buy or sell advice tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Alcoa and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Alcoa is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcoa fundamentals including its Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Sales and the relationship between Current Valuation and Price to Earning . Given that Alcoa has Price to Earning of 23.58 , we suggest you validate Alcoa Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alcoa Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alcoa generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
The company generated yearly revenue of 11.34 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (794 M) with gross profit of 3.32 B.
Latest headline from www.streetinsider.com: Alcoa President and Chief Executive Officer Roy Harvey to Present at BMO Capital Markets 29th Global Metals Mining Conference - StreetInsider.com

Alcoa current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price21.00
Target Mean Price22.86
Recommendation Mean2.60
Target High Price30.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions11
Target Low Price19.00

Alcoa Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.35Value At Risk4.03
Potential Upside3.67Standard Deviation2.64
 Return Density 
    
  Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Capital Research Global InvestorsCommon Shares19.5 M418.4 M
Capital World InvestorsCommon Shares12.4 M267.8 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares10.6 M227.2 M
Renaissance Technologies LlcCommon Shares9.7 M209.2 M
Orbis Allan Gray LtdCommon Shares7.9 M170.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares7.5 M161.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group IncCommon Shares6.3 M134.9 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpPut Options2.1 M46 M

Alcoa Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.4
β
Beta against DOW=0.90
σ
Overall volatility
=2.71
Ir
Information ratio =0.15

Alcoa Volatility Alert

Alcoa Corporation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.79 and kurtosis of 5.32. However, we advise investors to further study Alcoa Corporation technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alcoa to competition

Alcoa Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlcoaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.05 (0.31) 
Return On Asset0.0174 (0.14) 
Profit Margin0.021094 (1.27) 
Operating Margin15.38 (5.51) 
Current Valuation7.24 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding185.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders5.02 10.09 
Number of Shares Shorted12.42 M4.71 M
Price to Earning23.58 28.72 
Price to Book0.90 9.51 
Price to Sales0.33 11.42 
Revenue11.34 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.32 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.74 B3.9 B
Net Income(794 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents841 M2.7 B
Cash per Share4.53 5.01 
Total Debt1.96 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity30.60 48.70 
Current Ratio1.48 2.16 
Book Value Per Share28.70 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations681.37 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.79 4.00 
Earnings Per Share(4.29) 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth7.48 4.89 
Number of Employees14 K18.84 K
Beta1.74-0.15
Market Capitalization3.69 B19.03 B
Total Asset16.41 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings707.25 M9.33 B
Working Capital162 M1.48 B
Current Asset2.57 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.4 B7.9 B
   Alcoa exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Alcoa Market Momentum