Alcoa Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AA -- USA Stock  

USD 28.96  0.14  0.48%

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alcoa Corporation is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alcoa buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcoa positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alcoa available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Alcoa buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AlcoaBuy Alcoa


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Alcoa Corporation has a mean deviation of 2.51, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 3.37, variance of 11.33, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell recommendation module can be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Alcoa. Our buy, hold, or sell suggestion engine makes use of analyzes the corporation potential to grow using all fundamental data market data available at the time. To make sure Alcoa is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcoa fundamentals including its Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Sales and the relationship between Current Valuation and Price to Earning . Given that Alcoa has Price to Earning of 51.46X, we suggest you validate Alcoa Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alcoa Thematic Classifications

Steel Works Etc IdeaSteel Works Etc
USA Equities from Steel Works Etc industry as classified by Fama & French

Alcoa Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.41Value At Risk6.84
Potential Upside5.12Standard Deviation3.37
 Return Density 

Alcoa Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.50
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.11

Alcoa Volatility Alert

Alcoa Corporation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.29 and kurtosis of 0.58. However, we advise investors to further study Alcoa Corporation technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Alcoa to competition

Alcoa Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlcoaPeer Average
Return On Equity7.83% (15.17)%
Return On Asset8.28% (15.64)%
Profit Margin(0.09)% (5.50)%
Operating Margin22.39% (10.91)%
Current Valuation8.3B152.14B
Shares Outstanding186.49M1.43B
Shares Owned by Insiders6.54% 6.91%
Number of Shares Shorted6.07M3.24M
Price to Earning51.46X40.69X
Price to Book1.04X14.44X
Price to Sales0.41X17.81X
Gross Profit2.59B21.75B
Net Income(12M)517.71M
Cash and Equivalents1.02B3.89B
Cash per Share5.48X5.17X
Total Debt1.82B7.36B
Debt to Equity25.00% 0.72%
Current Ratio1.40X3.30X
Book Value Per Share27.97X13.64X
Cash Flow from Operations1.45B1.25B
Short Ratio1.61X2.09X
Earnings Per Share(0.07)X2.30X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.98X1.22X
Number of Employees14.6K10.67K
Market Capitalization5.43B29.78B
Total Asset16.41B126.86B
Retained Earnings8.83B38.24B
Working Capital162M3.58B
Current Asset2.57B36.8B
Current Liabilities2.4B33.34B
   Alcoa exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Alcoa Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alcoa generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Alcoa has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company generated yearly revenue of 13.23B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (12M) with gross profit of 2.59B.

Latest Analysts View

Alcoa Current Analysts Recommendations

Target Median Price51.00
Target Mean Price53.60
Recommendation Mean2.00
Target High Price79.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions15
Target Low Price38.00
Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.