Alcoa Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AA -- USA Stock  

USD 30.17  0.59  1.99%

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alcoa Corporation is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alcoa buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcoa positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alcoa available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Alcoa buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell AlcoaBuy Alcoa
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Alcoa Corporation has a mean deviation of 2.21, semi deviation of 2.59, standard deviation of 3.32, variance of 11.02, downside variance of 8.04 and semi variance of 6.72
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell suggestion module can be used to complement Alcoa buy, hold, or sell recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the organization potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Alcoa is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcoa fundamentals including its Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Sales and the relationship between Current Valuation and Price to Earning . Given that Alcoa has Price to Earning of 24.65X, we suggest you validate Alcoa Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alcoa Thematic Classifications

Steel Works Etc IdeaSteel Works Etc
USA Equities from Steel Works Etc industry as classified by Fama & French

Alcoa Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.21Value At Risk4.7
Potential Upside3.79Standard Deviation3.32
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Capital World InvestorsCommon Shares22.9 M608.4 M
Capital Research Global InvestorsCommon Shares18.6 M495.2 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares16.7 M444.8 M
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares10.2 M271.2 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares9.5 M253.2 M
Alliancebernstein LpCommon Shares5.4 M144.4 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares4.7 M125.1 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpPut Options1.6 M42.6 M

Alcoa Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.17
β
Beta against DOW=1.54
σ
Overall volatility
=3.18
Ir
Information ratio =0.01

Alcoa Volatility Alert

Alcoa Corporation currently demonstrates below average downside deviation of 2.84. It has Information Ratio of -0.01 and Jensen Alpha of -0.17. However, we do advice investors to further question Alcoa Corporation expected returns to make sure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alcoa to competition

Alcoa Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlcoaPeer Average
Return On Equity12.27% (15.17)%
Return On Asset8.41% (15.64)%
Profit Margin1.69% (5.50)%
Operating Margin22.23% (10.91)%
Current Valuation7.96B152.14B
Shares Outstanding186.49M1.43B
Shares Owned by Insiders6.26% 6.91%
Number of Shares Shorted4.93M3.24M
Price to Earning24.65X40.69X
Price to Book1.01X14.44X
Price to Sales0.41X17.81X
Revenue13.4B9.85B
Gross Profit3.32B21.75B
EBITDA2.98B1.41B
Net Income227M517.71M
Cash and Equivalents1.11B3.89B
Cash per Share6.02X5.17X
Total Debt1.8B7.36B
Debt to Equity24.30% 0.72%
Current Ratio1.42X3.30X
Book Value Per Share29.15X13.64X
Cash Flow from Operations1.24B1.25B
Short Ratio1.06X2.09X
Earnings Per Share1.20X2.30X
Price to Earnings To Growth3.78X1.22X
Number of Employees14.6K10.67K
Beta1.430.34
Market Capitalization5.52B29.78B
Total Asset16.41B126.86B
Retained Earnings8.83B38.24B
Working Capital162M3.58B
Current Asset2.57B36.8B
Current Liabilities2.4B33.34B
   Discretionary transaction by Jeffrey Heeter of 3087 shares of Alcoa subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Alcoa Market Momentum

Alcoa Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alcoa appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues

Latest Analysts View

Alcoa Current Analysts Recommendations

Target Median Price40.00
Target Mean Price40.69
Recommendation Mean2.00
Target High Price49.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions13
Target Low Price31.00
Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try ETF Directory module to find actively-traded exchange traded funds (etf) from around the world.
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